Where to start on Ukraine? I thought I would list some of the better articles I have read on the issue recently. Basically comes down to this being Putin's last stand.
Here is an article encouraging
the US to use energy as a weapon, namely to begin exporting crude oil
and Liquefied natural gas. This would increase the energy security of
US allies in Europe and make a dent in Russian profits. It will take
another 3 years at best before we see any changes, and probably another 5
before a meaningful impact happens but once it happens Putin's power
will decrease significantly.
Daniel Treisman is one of my favorite Russian experts, here is his piece on Putin.
In an interesting comparison to Putin's 2004 Ukrain strategy, he
basically states that this isn't the smartest move by Putin. It would
have been better to let the new Ukrainian regime self implode. Before
the crisis the EU was not willing to offer the loans or support that
would have been needed to keep the Ukrainian economy going. While
Putin's Ukraine policy will increase his domestic support in the short
term it will hurt his standings in the long term.
Dmitri Trenin enables us
to understand the Russian perspective on the crisis. While Trenin's
predicting doesn't have the best track record, his ability to describe
the Russian perspective to a Western audience is second to none.
For an analysis of the succession argument in Crimea take a look at this piece from the Washington post.
This piece does a great job of putting things into perspective. When
does a population have the right to succeed? How does this situation
relate to the Kosovo situation?